Both semi final dates are threat for India. If SA beats PAK today, India will play NZL in sydney and can win a last over thriller.
If they play England in Adelaide (if SA loses to PAK today) , it is almost a knockout situation.
Either way England is the biggest obstacle for India. They can handle NZL or SA in finals. There is also a pattern going on similar to 2011 WC. India last faced and beat Netherlands in ICC tournament only in 2011 and now in 2022. India lost to SA in both occassions in last over. England lost to Ireland on both occassions.